“Exploring Key Cases with the Portfolio Builder” by Hayley Clatterbuck, arvomm

Key Links: Link to the tool Link to post introducing the tool 2-min Intro Video 5-min Basics Video Introduction Here, we show how the Portfolio Builder can be used to explore several scenarios and controversies of interest to the EA community. We are far from certain that the parameter values we have chosen below are accurate; we have not rigorously vetted them. Instead, we have used intuitive parameter values for illustrative purposes. Our goal here is to show users how they can put the Portfolio Tool to work, not to settle first-order questions. Portfolio allocations across cause areas are strongly influenced by one's views about the potential scale of successes in those areas and the probability of those successes. For example, if you assign little or no value to the lives of animals, you will think that even “successful” projects in that area achieve very little. The expected [...] ---Outline:(00:24) Introduction(02:10) Focusing on the next few generations(08:00) High vs. low weights for animals(10:12) Diminishing marginal returns(13:17) AcknowledgmentsThe original text contained 5 footnotes which were omitted from this narration. The original text contained 7 images which were described by AI. --- First published: July 10th, 2024 Source: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/pu9WFaK9ZjBZmW7dc/exploring-key-cases-with-the-portfolio-builder --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.