The Error of Discounting the Unexpected
Developer Tea - Podcast készítő Spec, Jonathan Cutrell
Kategóriák:
We don't think about the unexpected as a category of possible outcomes. This leads us to assign overestimated probabilities to things that are front of mind, and discount the likelihood of things we don't expect. This may lead us to prepare for expected events without consideration for what we'll do in the face of the unexpected.
